Back to Bellator 146: Kato vs. Manhoef
Women's Featherweight

Arlene Blencowe vs Gabrielle Holloway

Bellator 146: Kato vs. Manhoef ·WinStar World Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Arlene Blencowe
Gabrielle Holloway
76% 24%
Why
33
Age
Δ 7y
26
9-7
Career record
Δ 6 pp
6-6
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Blencowe: 37 sig / 0 TD · Holloway: 21 sig / 5 TD
Arlene Blencowe
Gabrielle Holloway
65
Sig strikes landed
37
110
Sig strikes attempted
102
82
Total strikes landed
67
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
226s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Arlene Blencowe

"Angerfist"
9-7
Career record
Height
65"
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L Bellator 141: Guillard vs. Girtz
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W Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
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Blue corner
L1

Gabrielle Holloway

"Gabanator"
6-6
Career record
Height
63"
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlem…
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