Prelims2
Welterweight
Sheldon Westcott vs Edgar Garcia
UFC 195: Lawler vs Condit
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Sheldon Westcott
Edgar Garcia
55%
45%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
31
Age
Δ 0y
32
10-4-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
14-6
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Westcott: 33 sig / 1 TD ·
Garcia: 1 sig / 0 TD
Sheldon Westcott
Edgar Garcia
21
Sig strikes landed
24
32
Sig strikes attempted
30
57
Total strikes landed
61
2.3
Takedowns landed
1.8
4.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
314s
Control time
188s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Sheldon Westcott
10-4-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
L1
Edgar Garcia
14-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—