Prelims2
Welterweight
Court McGee vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
UFC 194: Aldo vs McGregor
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Court McGee
Marcio Alexandre Junior
45%
55%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
75"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
23-15
Career record
Δ 17 pp
17-5
L1
Current streak
L2
8
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 58 sig / 2 TD ·
Alexandre Junior: 23 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Marcio Alexandre Junior
45
Sig strikes landed
46
101
Sig strikes attempted
110
69
Total strikes landed
55
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.3
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
148s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Court McGee
"The Crusher"
23-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
L2
Marcio Alexandre Junior
"Lyoto"
17-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—