🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Strawweight
Joanna Jedrzejczyk vs Valerie Letourneau
UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm
·Marvel Stadium
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Valerie Letourneau
82%
18%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
17-5
Career record
Δ 17 pp
9-6
W4
Current streak
W3
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Jedrzejczyk: 220 sig / 0 TD ·
Letourneau: 103 sig / 1 TD
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
Valerie Letourneau
125
Sig strikes landed
63
240
Sig strikes attempted
182
117
Total strikes landed
68
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
216s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Joanna Jedrzejczyk
17-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—
W
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
—
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
Blue corner
W3
Valerie Letourneau
"Trouble"
9-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Ol…
—
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
W
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—