Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Mark Hunt
Antonio Silva
29%
71%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 10"
82"
42
Age
Δ 5y
36
13-15-1
Career record
Δ 16 pp
20-12-1
L2
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Hunt: 12 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 9 sig / 0 TD
Mark Hunt
Antonio Silva
20
Sig strikes landed
33
44
Sig strikes attempted
57
27
Total strikes landed
37
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
83s
Control time
59s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
73%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Mark Hunt
"Super Samoan"
13-15-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
42
In our database
10 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
20-12-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Mir
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—