Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Richard Walsh
Steve Kennedy
45%
55%
Why
27
Age
Δ 6y
33
9-6
Career record
Δ 13 pp
24-9
L2
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Walsh: 93 sig / 0 TD ·
Kennedy: 38 sig / 3 TD
Richard Walsh
Steve Kennedy
36
Sig strikes landed
24
82
Sig strikes attempted
58
61
Total strikes landed
48
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
168s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Richard Walsh
"Filthy Rich"
9-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
Blue corner
L1
Steve Kennedy
"The Steamrolla"
24-9
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
—