Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Patricio Pitbull
Daniel Straus
91%
9%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
38-9
Career record
Δ 3 pp
25-7
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Pitbull: 85 sig / 1 TD ·
Straus: 112 sig / 0 TD
Patricio Pitbull
Daniel Straus
60
Sig strikes landed
65
138
Sig strikes attempted
122
65
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.5
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
46s
Control time
53s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
50%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Patricio Pitbull
38-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
Bellator 138: Unfinished Busine…
—
W
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
—
Blue corner
W1
Daniel Straus
25-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Bellator 138: Unfinished Busine…
—
L
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
—