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Horacio Gutierrez vs Enrique Barzola

UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum ·Arena Monterrey
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Horacio Gutierrez
Enrique Barzola
58% 42%
Why
25
Age
Δ 1y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gutierrez: 10 sig / 0 TD · Barzola: 38 sig / 5 TD
Horacio Gutierrez
Enrique Barzola
40
Sig strikes landed
47
99
Sig strikes attempted
103
48
Total strikes landed
70
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
82s
Control time
178s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Horacio Gutierrez

"The Punisher"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
25
Blue corner

Enrique Barzola

"El Fuerte"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27