Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Neil Seery
Jon Delos Reyes
41%
59%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
67"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
16-14
Career record
Δ 11 pp
9-5
L1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Seery: 38 sig / 2 TD ·
Delos Reyes: 25 sig / 3 TD
Neil Seery
Jon Delos Reyes
36
Sig strikes landed
33
83
Sig strikes attempted
92
49
Total strikes landed
51
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
116s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
16-14
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
—
W
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johns…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
Blue corner
W1
Jon Delos Reyes
"The Heat"
9-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—