Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Norman Parke
Reza Madadi
82%
18%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
29
Age
Δ 8y
37
23-7-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
15-6
L2
Current streak
W1
7
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Parke: 47 sig / 1 TD ·
Madadi: 33 sig / 1 TD
Norman Parke
Reza Madadi
43
Sig strikes landed
34
105
Sig strikes attempted
73
73
Total strikes landed
45
1.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.1
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
220s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
23-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves
—
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
Blue corner
W1
Reza Madadi
"Mad Dog"
15-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—