Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Yair Rodriguez
Dan Hooker
66%
34%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
75"
23
Age
Δ 3y
26
22-6
Career record
Δ 14 pp
25-14
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 52 sig / 2 TD ·
Hooker: 19 sig / 1 TD
Yair Rodriguez
Dan Hooker
48
Sig strikes landed
39
107
Sig strikes attempted
110
62
Total strikes landed
56
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.8
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
119s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Yair Rodriguez
"El Pantera"
22-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum
—
W
UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
W1
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
25-14
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—