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Nick Hein vs Yusuke Kasuya

UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson ·Saitama Super Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Nick Hein
Yusuke Kasuya
60% 40%
Why
31
Age
Δ 6y
26
W1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hein: 46 sig / 0 TD · Kasuya: 44 sig / 1 TD
Nick Hein
Yusuke Kasuya
40
Sig strikes landed
37
94
Sig strikes attempted
90
54
Total strikes landed
50
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
140s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Nick Hein

"Sergeant"
15-5 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs…
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L UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swans…
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W UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
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Blue corner

Yusuke Kasuya

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26