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Chris Dempsey vs Jonathan Wilson

UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Saint Preux ·Bridgestone Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Chris Dempsey
Jonathan Wilson
59% 41%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dempsey: 0 sig / 0 TD · Wilson: 4 sig / 0 TD
Chris Dempsey
Jonathan Wilson
26
Sig strikes landed
32
57
Sig strikes attempted
60
42
Total strikes landed
53
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
173s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Chris Dempsey

12-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
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L UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
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Blue corner

Jonathan Wilson

"Johnny Bravo"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28