Main
Middleweight
Michael Bisping vs Thales Leites
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Leites
·The SSE Hydro
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Thales Leites
54%
46%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
36
Age
Δ 2y
34
31-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
29-9
W1
Current streak
W5
13
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Bisping: 115 sig / 0 TD ·
Leites: 79 sig / 1 TD
Michael Bisping
Thales Leites
51
Sig strikes landed
51
132
Sig strikes attempted
122
60
Total strikes landed
58
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.8
1.3
Takedowns attempted
5.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
53s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
13 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
W5
Thales Leites
29-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs N…
—
W
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
—
W
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—