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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Danny Martinez vs Sirwan Kakai

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero ·Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Danny Martinez
Sirwan Kakai
64% 36%
Why
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
L2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Martinez: 59 sig / 0 TD · Kakai: 52 sig / 5 TD
Danny Martinez
Sirwan Kakai
43
Sig strikes landed
44
108
Sig strikes attempted
97
69
Total strikes landed
56
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
5.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
237s
Control time
56s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Danny Martinez

"The Gremlin"
21-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
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L UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
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Blue corner

Sirwan Kakai

"Zohan"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26