Main
Middleweight
Antonio Carlos Junior vs Eddie Gordon
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero
·Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Antonio Carlos Junior
Eddie Gordon
69%
31%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
25
Age
Δ 7y
32
11-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
8-5
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Carlos Junior: 40 sig / 4 TD ·
Gordon: 12 sig / 0 TD
Antonio Carlos Junior
Eddie Gordon
33
Sig strikes landed
23
70
Sig strikes attempted
60
62
Total strikes landed
46
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.8
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
233s
Control time
220s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Antonio Carlos Junior
"Cara de Sapato"
11-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
Blue corner
L2
Eddie Gordon
"Truck"
8-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
—
L
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—