Main
Featherweight
Hacran Dias vs Levan Makashvili
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero
·Seminole Hard Rock Hotel and Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hacran Dias
Levan Makashvili
59%
41%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
31
Age
Δ 4y
26
24-6-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
16-2-1
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Dias: 17 sig / 3 TD ·
Makashvili: 37 sig / 2 TD
Hacran Dias
Levan Makashvili
28
Sig strikes landed
28
61
Sig strikes attempted
59
46
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
2.3
4.6
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
177s
Control time
210s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Hacran Dias
"Barnabe"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Levan Makashvili
"The Hornet"
16-2-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
—