Back to UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Prelims2 Women's Bantamweight

Jessamyn Duke vs Elizabeth Phillips

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II ·United Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Jessamyn Duke
Elizabeth Phillips
51% 49%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 8"
65"
29
Age
Δ 0y
29
3-6
Career record
Δ 13 pp
6-7
L2
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Duke: 36 sig / 2 TD · Phillips: 49 sig / 2 TD
Jessamyn Duke
Elizabeth Phillips
53
Sig strikes landed
52
116
Sig strikes attempted
120
68
Total strikes landed
91
0.8
Takedowns landed
2.2
1.2
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
69s
Control time
323s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Jessamyn Duke

"The Gun"
3-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
Blue corner
L2

Elizabeth Phillips

6-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
L UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
—