Back to UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II
Prelims2 Middleweight

Zak Cummings vs Dominique Steele

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II ·United Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Zak Cummings
Dominique Steele
78% 22%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
31
Age
Δ 4y
28
L1
Current streak
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3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cummings: 14 sig / 0 TD · Steele: 2 sig / 0 TD
Zak Cummings
Dominique Steele
28
Sig strikes landed
23
68
Sig strikes attempted
58
49
Total strikes landed
38
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.6
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
213s
Control time
58s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Zak Cummings

25-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
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W UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
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W UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
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Blue corner

Dominique Steele

"Non-Stop Action-Packed"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28