Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cheick Kongo
Alexander Volkov
15%
85%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 2"
80"
40
Age
Δ 13y
27
27-11-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
40-12
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kongo: 18 sig / 5 TD ·
Volkov: 15 sig / 0 TD
Cheick Kongo
Alexander Volkov
41
Sig strikes landed
50
104
Sig strikes attempted
108
51
Total strikes landed
65
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.0
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.60
211s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cheick Kongo
27-11-2
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
40
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 134: The British Invas…
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Blue corner
L1
Alexander Volkov
"Drago"
40-12
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 136: Brooks vs. Jansen
—