Back to UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
Prelims2 Bantamweight

Hugo Viana vs Guido Cannetti

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia ·Farmasi Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Hugo Viana
Guido Cannetti
66% 34%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
68"
33
Age
Δ 3y
36
8-5
Career record
Δ 9 pp
10-9
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Viana: 13 sig / 1 TD · Cannetti: 32 sig / 4 TD
Hugo Viana
Guido Cannetti
41
Sig strikes landed
39
94
Sig strikes attempted
89
50
Total strikes landed
49
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Hugo Viana

"Wolverine"
8-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
W UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
L UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
W UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
Blue corner
L1

Guido Cannetti

"Ninja"
10-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt