Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Vitor Miranda
Clint Hester
45%
55%
Why
77"
Reach
77"
36
Age
Δ 8y
29
13-5
Career record
Δ 11 pp
11-7
W1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Miranda: 57 sig / 1 TD ·
Hester: 15 sig / 1 TD
Vitor Miranda
Clint Hester
28
Sig strikes landed
32
62
Sig strikes attempted
75
43
Total strikes landed
43
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.50
125s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Vitor Miranda
"Lex Luthor"
13-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Mald…
—
Blue corner
L1
Clint Hester
"Headbussa"
11-7
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
W
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—