🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Ronda Rousey vs Bethe Correia
UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia
·Farmasi Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ronda Rousey
Bethe Correia
76%
24%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
28
Age
Δ 4y
32
13-2
Career record
Δ 24 pp
12-6-1
W5
Current streak
W3
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Rousey: 19 sig / 0 TD ·
Correia: 9 sig / 0 TD
Ronda Rousey
Bethe Correia
42
Sig strikes landed
21
77
Sig strikes attempted
42
45
Total strikes landed
29
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
180s
Control time
111s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Ronda Rousey
"Rowdy"
13-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 5-0
Last 5
W
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano
—
W
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
—
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
W3
Bethe Correia
"Pitbull"
12-6-1
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—