Bantamweight
Darrion Caldwell vs Rafael Silva
Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
·Pechanga Resort & Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Darrion Caldwell
Rafael Silva
55%
45%
Why
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Caldwell: 11 sig / 3 TD ·
Silva: 10 sig / 0 TD
Darrion Caldwell
Rafael Silva
42
Sig strikes landed
43
97
Sig strikes attempted
93
61
Total strikes landed
62
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.7
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
122s
Control time
151s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Darrion Caldwell
"The Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
27
Blue corner
Rafael Silva
"Morcego"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Age
30