Welterweight
Fernando Gonzalez vs Curtis Millender
Bellator 137: Halsey vs. Grove
·Pechanga Resort & Casino
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Fernando Gonzalez
Curtis Millender
61%
39%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 8"
76"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
27-14
Career record
Δ 8 pp
17-6
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Gonzalez: 28 sig / 1 TD ·
Millender: 43 sig / 1 TD
Fernando Gonzalez
Curtis Millender
8
Sig strikes landed
71
55
Sig strikes attempted
163
69
Total strikes landed
63
0.7
Takedowns landed
2.3
3.0
Takedowns attempted
4.9
1.30
Knockdowns
0.10
227s
Control time
254s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Fernando Gonzalez
"The Menifee Maniac"
27-14
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
—
Blue corner
L1
Curtis Millender
"Curtious"
17-6
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
Bellator 134: The British Invas…
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