Back to UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Cody Garbrandt vs Henry Briones

UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Cody Garbrandt
Henry Briones
73% 27%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
24
Age
Δ 11y
35
16-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-8-1
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Garbrandt: 64 sig / 3 TD · Briones: 35 sig / 0 TD
Cody Garbrandt
Henry Briones
38
Sig strikes landed
54
114
Sig strikes attempted
118
47
Total strikes landed
45
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
50s
Control time
25s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Cody Garbrandt

"No Love"
16-7
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier
—
Blue corner
W1

Henry Briones

"Bure"
17-8-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—