Prelims1
Welterweight
Dong Hyun Kim vs Joshua Burkman
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dong Hyun Kim
Joshua Burkman
74%
26%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
34
Age
Δ 2y
35
22-5-1
Career record
Δ 15 pp
28-16
L1
Current streak
—
10
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Kim: 30 sig / 1 TD ·
Burkman: 20 sig / 0 TD
Dong Hyun Kim
Joshua Burkman
27
Sig strikes landed
18
66
Sig strikes attempted
43
59
Total strikes landed
36
2.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
291s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
22-5-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
Blue corner
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
28-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-0