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Prelims2 Bantamweight

Jose Quinonez vs Leonardo Morales

UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson ·Smoothie King Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jose Quinonez
Leonardo Morales
58% 42%
Why
25
Age
Δ 2y
22
9-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
6-3
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Quinonez: 2 sig / 1 TD · Morales: 3 sig / 0 TD
Jose Quinonez
Leonardo Morales
40
Sig strikes landed
40
93
Sig strikes attempted
92
68
Total strikes landed
68
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
220s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jose Quinonez

"Teco"
9-6
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—
Blue corner
L1

Leonardo Morales

"Chimy"
6-3
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
23
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt
—