Prelims2
Flyweight
Roldan Sangcha'an vs Jon Delos Reyes
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber
·Mall of Asia Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Roldan Sangcha'an
Jon Delos Reyes
58%
42%
Why
24
Age
Δ 3y
28
4-3
Career record
Δ 0 pp
8-6
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Sangcha'an: 27 sig / 2 TD ·
Delos Reyes: 23 sig / 1 TD
Roldan Sangcha'an
Jon Delos Reyes
31
Sig strikes landed
30
67
Sig strikes attempted
66
45
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
140s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Roldan Sangcha'an
"The Executioner"
4-3
Career record
Height
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
Blue corner
L2
Jon Delos Reyes
"The Heat"
8-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—