Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Hyun Gyu Lim
Neil Magny
32%
68%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
80"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
14-7-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
32-15
W1
Current streak
W6
4
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lim: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Magny: 43 sig / 2 TD
Hyun Gyu Lim
Neil Magny
45
Sig strikes landed
64
117
Sig strikes attempted
150
53
Total strikes landed
77
0.2
Takedowns landed
1.4
0.5
Takedowns attempted
5.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
38s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Hyun Gyu Lim
"The Ace"
14-7-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
Blue corner
W6
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
32-15
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
9 fights · 7-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs T…
—
W
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Mar…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—