Featherweight
Fabricio Guerreiro vs John Teixeira
Bellator 136: Brooks vs. Jansen
·Bren Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Fabricio Guerreiro
John Teixeira
77%
23%
Why
25
Age
Δ 4y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Guerreiro: 28 sig / 2 TD ·
Teixeira: 33 sig / 1 TD
Fabricio Guerreiro
John Teixeira
48
Sig strikes landed
44
102
Sig strikes attempted
93
67
Total strikes landed
67
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.6
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Fabricio Guerreiro
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Age
25
Blue corner
John Teixeira
"Macapa"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28