Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Will Brooks
Dave Jansen
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
28
Age
Δ 7y
36
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Brooks: 147 sig / 3 TD ·
Jansen: 110 sig / 0 TD
Will Brooks
Dave Jansen
55
Sig strikes landed
45
108
Sig strikes attempted
107
72
Total strikes landed
64
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
111s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Will Brooks
"Ill"
19-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
Bellator 131: Tito vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
Dave Jansen
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36