Back to UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas
Prelims1 Middleweight

Ron Stallings vs Justin Jones

UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas ·EagleBank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Ron Stallings
Justin Jones
44% 56%
Why
32
Age
Δ 5y
28
14-9
Career record
Δ 14 pp
9-3
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stallings: 50 sig / 0 TD · Jones: 23 sig / 2 TD
Ron Stallings
Justin Jones
38
Sig strikes landed
29
60
Sig strikes attempted
58
48
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
81s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ron Stallings

"The Choir Boy"
14-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Si…
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Blue corner
L1

Justin Jones

"Black Dynamite"
9-3
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
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