Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Randa Markos vs Aisling Daly
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi
·Bell Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Randa Markos
Aisling Daly
24%
76%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
30
Age
Δ 2y
27
11-13-1
Career record
Δ 30 pp
17-6
L1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Markos: 18 sig / 2 TD ·
Daly: 27 sig / 2 TD
Randa Markos
Aisling Daly
25
Sig strikes landed
33
57
Sig strikes attempted
83
37
Total strikes landed
67
0.2
Takedowns landed
2.2
0.8
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
78s
Control time
264s
Method
Decision
26%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
60%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Randa Markos
"Quiet Storm"
11-13-1
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—
Blue corner
W1
Aisling Daly
"Ais the Bash"
17-6
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: A Champio…
—