Back to Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlemenko
Middleweight

Alexander Shlemenko vs Melvin Manhoef

Bellator 133: Manhoef vs. Shlemenko ·Save Mart Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alexander Shlemenko
Melvin Manhoef
99% 1%
Why
31
Age
Δ 8y
39
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Overturned · Round 2
Shlemenko: 28 sig / 0 TD · Manhoef: 11 sig / 0 TD
Alexander Shlemenko
Melvin Manhoef
47
Sig strikes landed
29
101
Sig strikes attempted
84
66
Total strikes landed
33
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.8
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.60
139s
Control time
115s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Alexander Shlemenko

"Storm"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Age
31
Blue corner
L1

Melvin Manhoef

"No Mercy"
30-15-1 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
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