Back to Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
Welterweight

Fernando Gonzalez vs Marius Zaromskis

Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Fernando Gonzalez
Marius Zaromskis
64% 36%
Why
31
Age
Δ 3y
34

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gonzalez: 159 sig / 1 TD · Zaromskis: 109 sig / 2 TD
Fernando Gonzalez
Marius Zaromskis
37
Sig strikes landed
33
78
Sig strikes attempted
75
52
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
108s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Fernando Gonzalez

"The Menifee Maniac"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
Blue corner

Marius Zaromskis

"The Whitemare"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35