Back to Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus
Light Heavyweight

Virgil Zwicker vs Houston Alexander

Bellator 132: Pitbull vs. Straus ·Pechanga Resort & Casino
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Virgil Zwicker
Houston Alexander
94% 6%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 10y
43

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Zwicker: 31 sig / 1 TD · Alexander: 44 sig / 3 TD
Virgil Zwicker
Houston Alexander
51
Sig strikes landed
39
121
Sig strikes attempted
99
67
Total strikes landed
54
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
168s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Virgil Zwicker

"RezDog"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Age
33
Blue corner

Houston Alexander

"The Assassin"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
43