Prelims2
Featherweight
Diego Brandao vs Jimy Hettes
UFC on FOX: Machida vs Rockhold
·Prudential Center
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Diego Brandao
Jimy Hettes
54%
46%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 7"
71"
28
Age
28
22-12
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-4
L2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Brandao: 12 sig / 2 TD ·
Hettes: 11 sig / 1 TD
Diego Brandao
Jimy Hettes
26
Sig strikes landed
26
47
Sig strikes attempted
53
43
Total strikes landed
54
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.00
119s
Control time
199s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Diego Brandao
"DB"
22-12
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
Blue corner
L1
Jimy Hettes
"The Kid"
11-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—