Prelims2
Women's Bantamweight
Larissa Pacheco vs Germaine de Randamie
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Larissa Pacheco
Germaine de Randamie
71%
29%
Why
20
Age
Δ 10y
31
10-3
Career record
Δ 14 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Pacheco: 8 sig / 0 TD ·
de Randamie: 29 sig / 0 TD
Larissa Pacheco
Germaine de Randamie
22
Sig strikes landed
30
51
Sig strikes attempted
48
43
Total strikes landed
58
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
199s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
39%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Larissa Pacheco
10-3
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
Blue corner
L1
Germaine de Randamie
"The Iron Lady"
10-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—