🏆 Title fight
Main
Lightweight
Anthony Pettis vs Rafael Dos Anjos
UFC 185: Pettis vs Dos Anjos
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Pettis
Rafael Dos Anjos
63%
37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
25-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
33-17
W5
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
14
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Pettis: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Dos Anjos: 90 sig / 9 TD
Anthony Pettis
Rafael Dos Anjos
42
Sig strikes landed
37
93
Sig strikes attempted
95
50
Total strikes landed
49
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.9
Takedowns attempted
4.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
63s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Anthony Pettis
"Showtime"
25-10
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson
—
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
Blue corner
W3
Rafael Dos Anjos
33-17
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
14 fights · 11-3
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs D…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs K…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Werdum vs Browne
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—