Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Antonio Silva
Frank Mir
60%
40%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 3"
79"
35
Age
Δ 0y
36
19-13-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
18-12
L1
Current streak
L4
6
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Mir: 10 sig / 0 TD
Antonio Silva
Frank Mir
22
Sig strikes landed
19
41
Sig strikes attempted
31
37
Total strikes landed
29
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.3
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
75s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
68%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Antonio Silva
"Bigfoot"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
Blue corner
L4
Frank Mir
18-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—
L
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
L
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—