Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Neil Seery
Chris Beal
34%
66%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
35
Age
Δ 6y
30
17-13
Career record
Δ 12 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Seery: 56 sig / 1 TD ·
Beal: 39 sig / 2 TD
Neil Seery
Chris Beal
44
Sig strikes landed
41
110
Sig strikes attempted
121
59
Total strikes landed
58
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.5
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
69s
Control time
157s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
17-13
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs …
—
Blue corner
W2
Chris Beal
"Real Deal"
11-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mous…
—
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—