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Prelims2 Heavyweight

Viktor Pesta vs Konstantin Erokhin

UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson ·Tele2 Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Viktor Pesta
Konstantin Erokhin
65% 35%
Why
24
Age
Δ 8y
32
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pesta: 35 sig / 4 TD · Erokhin: 17 sig / 0 TD
Viktor Pesta
Konstantin Erokhin
29
Sig strikes landed
39
66
Sig strikes attempted
71
52
Total strikes landed
61
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.1
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
204s
Control time
132s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Viktor Pesta

10-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Munoz vs Mousa…
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Blue corner

Konstantin Erokhin

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32