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James Moontasri vs Cody Pfister

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch ·1stBank Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
James Moontasri
Cody Pfister
43% 57%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
27
Age
Δ 2y
25
L1
Current streak
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1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Moontasri: 32 sig / 0 TD · Pfister: 12 sig / 0 TD
James Moontasri
Cody Pfister
35
Sig strikes landed
38
67
Sig strikes attempted
71
54
Total strikes landed
57
2.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.8
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
202s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

James Moontasri

"Moon Walker"
9-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
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Blue corner

Cody Pfister

"The Fist"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25