Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dhiego Lima
Tim Means
47%
53%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
26
Age
Δ 5y
31
18-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
34-17-1
W1
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Lima: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Means: 23 sig / 0 TD
Dhiego Lima
Tim Means
43
Sig strikes landed
47
104
Sig strikes attempted
101
61
Total strikes landed
64
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.1
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
163s
Control time
65s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Dhiego Lima
18-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night 56: Shogun vs S…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
Blue corner
W2
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
34-17-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dol…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
—
L
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—