Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Masio Fullen
Alex Torres
59%
41%
Why
28
Age
Δ 2y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Fullen: 41 sig / 1 TD ·
Torres: 37 sig / 2 TD
Masio Fullen
Alex Torres
37
Sig strikes landed
35
76
Sig strikes attempted
77
52
Total strikes landed
45
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
148s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Masio Fullen
"Lobo"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
Alex Torres
"Rolo"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27