Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Thiago Santos
Andy Enz
53%
47%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
31
Age
Δ 8y
24
22-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
10-5
L1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Santos: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Enz: 1 sig / 0 TD
Thiago Santos
Andy Enz
45
Sig strikes landed
35
115
Sig strikes attempted
106
62
Total strikes landed
49
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
112s
Control time
40s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Thiago Santos
"Marreta"
22-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC 175: Weidman vs Machida
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
L
UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
Blue corner
L2
Andy Enz
"Tank Mode"
10-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ste…
—
L
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2
—