Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Norman Parke
Gleison Tibau
65%
35%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
28
Age
Δ 3y
31
24-6-1
Career record
Δ 7 pp
34-14
W1
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Parke: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Tibau: 38 sig / 2 TD
Norman Parke
Gleison Tibau
45
Sig strikes landed
33
114
Sig strikes attempted
110
63
Total strikes landed
52
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.4
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
142s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Norman Parke
"Stormin'"
24-6-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 4-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Br…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Hend…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—
Blue corner
W2
Gleison Tibau
34-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
13 fights · 9-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arl…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Mill…
—
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—