Back to UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Leandro Issa vs Yuta Sasaki

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Dollaway ·Ginasio Jose Correa
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Leandro Issa
Yuta Sasaki
30% 70%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
31
Age
Δ 6y
25
14-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
22-6-2
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Issa: 25 sig / 2 TD · Sasaki: 8 sig / 1 TD
Leandro Issa
Yuta Sasaki
11
Sig strikes landed
34
37
Sig strikes attempted
67
31
Total strikes landed
45
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.00
Knockdowns
0.30
158s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
54%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Leandro Issa

"Brodinho"
14-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edga…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs …
—
Blue corner
W1

Yuta Sasaki

"Ulka"
22-6-2
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—