Main
Middleweight
Luke Rockhold vs Michael Bisping
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Bisping
·Qudos Bank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Luke Rockhold
Michael Bisping
39%
61%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
30
Age
Δ 6y
36
17-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
31-9
W2
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Rockhold: 20 sig / 0 TD ·
Bisping: 16 sig / 0 TD
Luke Rockhold
Michael Bisping
41
Sig strikes landed
38
94
Sig strikes attempted
100
51
Total strikes landed
53
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
68s
Control time
100s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Luke Rockhold
17-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Ph…
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs. Rockhold
—
Blue corner
W1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
31-9
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Ken…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
W
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—